It seems that tech companies aren't going to focus on doubling transistor numbers every 2 years.
To me, this is exciting. Since computers began tech companies had the choice between investing in various ways to improve their hardware. Obviously up until now the most profitable has been reducing die sizes. Now that isn't the case anymore, but it doesn't mean that hardware won't improve. Instead it means that tech companies will focus on other ways, like improving architecture, or rethinking the ideas that tell them what is most efficient. Economically, the rising costs for reducing die size mean that the rest of the market values the resources used to reduce die sizes more if they are put towards other uses. I think this is the main factor for abandoning Moore's law more than technological limitations. What this tells me is that there is a potentiality for entire new tech companies to overtake Intel or Nvidia. Since they have focused mainly on reducing die sizes, they're not as good as they could be in other areas. Either they have to get better, or another new company with new ideas is going to overtake them completely. Some people might consider this a little far-fetched, but it happened to IBM so why not now?
Anyone else have thoughts on this?
To me, this is exciting. Since computers began tech companies had the choice between investing in various ways to improve their hardware. Obviously up until now the most profitable has been reducing die sizes. Now that isn't the case anymore, but it doesn't mean that hardware won't improve. Instead it means that tech companies will focus on other ways, like improving architecture, or rethinking the ideas that tell them what is most efficient. Economically, the rising costs for reducing die size mean that the rest of the market values the resources used to reduce die sizes more if they are put towards other uses. I think this is the main factor for abandoning Moore's law more than technological limitations. What this tells me is that there is a potentiality for entire new tech companies to overtake Intel or Nvidia. Since they have focused mainly on reducing die sizes, they're not as good as they could be in other areas. Either they have to get better, or another new company with new ideas is going to overtake them completely. Some people might consider this a little far-fetched, but it happened to IBM so why not now?
Anyone else have thoughts on this?